10
Berlinetta
4yo Filly · 8-11
Vichy · Prix Du Puy Mary Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 20/01/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 21/02/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 18/03/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 30/04/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 31% | -0.30 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 17/06/2026 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |