11
Hakamaori
4yo Filly · 8-11
Vichy · Prix Du Puy Mary Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#6
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Compiegne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Lignieres | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -16.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 03/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 44% | -0.21 |