4
Howabouthatnow
4yo Gelding · 9-4
Vichy · Prix Du Puy Mary Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
59%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 11/02/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 24/02/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 02/07/2026 | 15th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/08/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |