1

Kingori
7yo Gelding · 9-6
Vichy · Prix Du Puy Mary Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
26%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Marseille | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 13/04/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 11% | -0.47 |
| 06/05/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 83% | -0.11 |