1

Kingori

7yo Gelding · 9-6

Vichy · Prix Du Puy Mary Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

26%

Place Prob

27%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength45%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Marseille 22/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 80 · 1m4f203y Std 131 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 80 par22/034OR 804 @ Lyon-Parilly 13/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m7f144y Ver 1284 @ Marseille-borely 06/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f203y Ver 1286/0544 @ Marseille 22/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 80 · 1m4f203y Std 128 · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Marseille 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 80 · 1m4f203y Std 132 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 80 par6/064OR 804 @ Aix-Les-Bains 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m4f94y Gd 1323 @ Vichy 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y GS 12423/0734 @ Vichy 14/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1324 @ Lyon-Parilly 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1322/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Lyon-Parilly42nd2nd0
2026-08-14Vichy42nd2nd0
2026-07-23Vichy32nd2nd0
2026-06-26Aix-Les-Bains44th4th0
2026-06-06Marseille41st1st0
2026-05-22Marseille41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0322/0523/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/03/20263rd15/890%75%-0.15
13/04/20269th8/158%11%-0.47
06/05/20265th7/163%60%-0.03
22/05/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
06/06/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
26/06/20264th10/382%50%-0.32
23/07/20262nd20/10%92%+0.92
14/08/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09
02/09/20262nd11/1094%83%-0.11