14
Marie De Prusse
4yo Filly · 8-7
Vichy · Prix Du Puy Mary Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Toulouse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 18/03/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 69% | +0.17 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 93% | +0.19 |
| 08/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.12 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 93% | -0.02 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 71% | -0.19 |