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8

Outrenoir

4yo Gelding · 8-13

Vichy · Prix Du Puy Mary Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#13

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 8.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 04/06/2024 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1284/06C5C5 @ Clairefontaine 05/07/2024 · Pos 13th of 17 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 128C5 @ Vittel 25/07/2024 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12825/07C5C5 @ Saint-Malo 08/08/2024 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 7f209y GS 122C5 @ Dieppe 27/08/2024 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12827/08C5C5 @ Compiegne 17/09/2024 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m208y Ver 123C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 07/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1237/06C?4 @ Vichy 03/09/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1313/094projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Vichy414th14th0
2025-06-07Lyon-Parilly?10th10th0
2024-09-17Compiegne?7th7th0
2024-08-27Dieppe?7th7th0
2024-08-08Saint-Malo?5th5th0
2024-07-25Vittel?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/068/087/063/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 13-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/06/202410th40/10%18%+0.18
05/07/202413th40/10%25%+0.25
25/07/20243rd12/137%82%+0.45
08/08/20245th22/10%20%+0.20
27/08/20247th50/10%0%0.00
17/09/20247th40/10%0%0.00
07/06/202510th28/10%0%0.00
03/09/202614th50/10%0%0.00