9

Scat Lady
6yo Mare · 8-12
Vichy · Prix Du Puy Mary Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#11
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Saint-Malo | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Les Sables | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Nantes | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 69% | -0.10 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 29% | -0.35 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 93% | +0.28 |