6
Wild Horses
5yo Gelding · 9-4
Vichy · Prix Du Puy Mary Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength20%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 31/08/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 20/06/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 30/06/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 14/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/07/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 03/08/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |