1
Friends Dream
5yo Filly · 9-6
Vichy · Prix Agent Double Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -9.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/12/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 19/01/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.45 |
| 11/02/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 24/02/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 13/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 87% | +0.24 |
| 08/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 82% | +0.21 |
| 24/04/2026 | 13th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |