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11yo Gelding · 8-12
Vichy · Prix Agent Double Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#5
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength7%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 22% | -0.51 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.13 |
| 04/06/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 30/06/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 21/07/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 14/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 02/09/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |