9
Bech River
8yo Gelding · 9-3
Vichy · Prix Nature Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength79%
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 14/04/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 15/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 79% | +0.18 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 69% | +0.17 |