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6

Carqueiranne

4yo Gelding · 9-5

Vichy · Prix Nature Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#10

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lyon La Soie 09/12/2024 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Std 1289/12C5C5 @ Lyon La Soie 09/01/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m208y Std 1289/01C5C5 @ Lyon La Soie 07/02/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m208y Std 1287/02C5C8 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 25/02/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f151y Ver 12825/02C8C0 @ Strasbourg 14/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m88y Sft 14714/09C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 30/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m198y Hvy 14730/10C?4 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1238/094projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Lyon-Parilly410th10th0
2026-06-30Aix-Les-Bains30
2025-10-30Lyon-Parilly?8th8th0
2025-09-14Strasbourg?3rd3rd0
2025-02-25Cagnes-sur-Mer?8th8th0
2025-02-07Lyon La Soie?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1225/028/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength24%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/12/20249th28/10%27%+0.27
09/01/20257th33/10%14%+0.14
07/02/20257th33/10%0%0.00
25/02/20258th33/10%13%+0.13
14/09/20253rd28/10%67%+0.67
30/10/20258th33/10%30%+0.30
08/09/202610th50/10%0%0.00