12
Gracehill
6yo Mare · 8-12
Vichy · Prix Nature Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#13
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 8.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Le Touquet | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Le Touquet | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Chantilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength16%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/10/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 28/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 10/11/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 23/03/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 16/04/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/07/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 16/08/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 14/09/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |