1
Jardin Bleu
8yo Gelding · 9-6
Vichy · Prix Nature Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#2
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Vichy | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Moulins | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Toulouse | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 53% | +0.01 |
| 01/10/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 23/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 18/03/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 77% | +0.11 |
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 70% | -0.17 |
| 16/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 77% | +0.01 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 87% | +0.31 |
| 30/07/2026 | 8th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |