3
Lucky You
10yo Mare · 9-6
Vichy · Prix Nature Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength34%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/2024 | 15th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 23/09/2024 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 05/04/2025 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 07/10/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 07/11/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 14/04/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 85% | +0.21 |
| 08/07/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 14/08/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |