10
Mieux Que Papa
4yo Filly · 9-2
Vichy · Prix Nature Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#12
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Vichy | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Aix-Les-Bains | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Nancy | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Aix-Les-Bains | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 9-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength5%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 13/04/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 25/06/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 05/07/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 12/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 25/10/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 9% | -0.07 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 30/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 19/08/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |