2
Parva Scurra
5yo Filly · 9-6
Vichy · Prix Nature Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 54% | +0.28 |
| 09/03/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 16/04/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 22% | -0.30 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 23/07/2026 | 11th | 11/8 | 93% | 29% | -0.64 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 64% | -0.26 |
| 15/08/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 22% | -0.62 |