7
Sixtine Baal
6yo Horse · 9-5
Vichy · Prix Nature Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#11
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-07 | Dieppe | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-06-05 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-02-21 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-01-23 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-12-30 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-11-23 | Pornichet | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength27%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2024 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 24/07/2024 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 18/10/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 23/11/2024 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 30/12/2024 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 23/01/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 21/02/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 05/06/2025 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.00 |
| 07/07/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |