8

Vino

5yo Filly · 9-4

Vichy · Prix Nature Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Marseille 22/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 11722/054C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 06/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f205y Sft 1244 @ Lyon-Parilly 13/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 11713/0644 @ ParisLongchamp 02/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1244 @ Vichy 23/07/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12523/0744 @ Vichy 03/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 1194 @ Vichy 14/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 12014/0844 @ Lyon-Parilly 02/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1224 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1198/094projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Lyon-Parilly49th9th0
2026-09-02Lyon-Parilly43rd3rd0
2026-08-14Vichy42nd2nd0
2026-08-03Vichy47th7th0
2026-07-23Vichy415th15th0
2026-07-02ParisLongchamp44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/052/0714/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength19%

Delivery trend -8.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/05/20266th12/137%44%+0.08
06/06/20264th33/10%57%+0.57
13/06/20264th7/163%70%+0.07
02/07/20264th12/137%79%+0.42
23/07/202615th14/126%0%-0.26
03/08/20267th9/153%45%-0.07
14/08/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09
02/09/20263rd6/168%78%+0.09
08/09/20269th7/282%11%-0.70