4
Ameliore
3yo Filly · 8-11
Vichy · Prix De Busset Claiming Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#2
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Dieppe | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Dieppe | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fontainebleau | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength24%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 16/05/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 23/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |