2
Big Victor
3yo Gelding · 8-11
Vichy · Prix De Busset Claiming Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dax | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mont De Marsan | 3 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-02-24 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-26 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 03/01/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 17/01/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 26/01/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 11/02/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 24/02/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 26/07/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 29% | -0.14 |
| 23/08/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 18% | -0.29 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 20% | -0.22 |