7

Never Lost

3yo Filly · 8-5

Vichy · Prix De Busset Claiming Stakes · 1m 3f 204y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

97%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Marseille-borely 18/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 12318/03C5C5 @ Salon-De-Provence 16/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 117C5 @ Marseille 02/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1202/05C5C0 @ Vichy 13/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 123C5 @ Salon-De-Provence 17/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12417/06C5C5 @ Aix-Les-Bains 07/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 120C5 @ Vichy 25/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12025/07C5C5 @ Deauville 11/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 120C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 02/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1202/09C5projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Lyon-Parilly?1st1st0
2026-08-11Deauville?2nd2nd0
2026-07-25Vichy?3rd3rd0
2026-07-07Aix-Les-Bains?3rd3rd0
2026-06-17Salon-De-Provence?2nd2nd0
2026-05-13Vichy?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0313/0525/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength79%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/03/20268th22/10%13%+0.13
16/04/20262nd14/126%80%+0.54
02/05/20265th8/158%43%-0.15
13/05/20267th10/147%14%-0.33
17/06/20262nd9/488%86%-0.02
07/07/20263rd1/195%67%-0.28
25/07/20263rd9/276%71%-0.05
11/08/20262nd4/179%86%+0.07
02/09/20261st11/893%100%+0.07