1
Study Of Case
3yo Colt · 9-5
Vichy · Prix De Busset Claiming Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Marseille-borely | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Marseille-borely | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-12 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength74%
Delivery trend -9.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 18/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 06/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 86% | -0.05 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 21/07/2026 | 15th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |