8

Aberdeen

3yo Filly · 8-12

Vichy · Prix De Puy Guillaume Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y

#5

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Vichy 22/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12022/07C5C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 04/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1244/09C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Le Lion D'angers?4th4th0
2026-07-22Vichy?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength18%

Delivery trend -34.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/07/20264th6/168%79%+0.10
04/09/20264th7/491%67%-0.24