6

Baileys Encanta

3yo Filly · 8-12

Vichy · Prix De Puy Guillaume Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y

#4

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 7.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Vichy 15/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Hvy 12815/07C51 @ Deauville 03/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Saint-Cloud 12/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 12712/09C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 09/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 130C0 @ Moulins 09/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1419/04C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 05/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 132C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 21/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12821/06C?C0 @ Dieppe 13/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 139C5 @ Mont De Marsan 29/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12429/07C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Mont De Marsan?6th6th0
2026-07-13Dieppe?10th10th0
2026-06-21Lyon-Parilly?4th4th0
2026-05-05Saint-Cloud?14th14th0
2026-04-09Moulins?12th12th0
2025-10-31Chantilly?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/079/1021/0629/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/07/20253rd5/174%85%+0.11
03/08/20256th80/10%0%0.00
12/09/20252nd11/271%91%+0.20
09/10/202510th5/174%25%-0.49
09/04/202612th28/10%8%+0.08
05/05/202614th40/10%0%0.00
21/06/20264th22/10%63%+0.63
13/07/202610th16/116%0%-0.16
29/07/20266th11/486%38%-0.48