6

Baileys Encanta
3yo Filly · 8-12
Vichy · Prix De Puy Guillaume Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Moulins | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Chantilly | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 85% | +0.11 |
| 03/08/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 09/10/2025 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 09/04/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 05/05/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 13/07/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 29/07/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 38% | -0.48 |