2
Killwining
3yo Gelding · 9-2
Vichy · Prix De Puy Guillaume Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Vichy | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Vichy | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength9%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/05/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 22/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 22/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 19/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |