5
New Pearl
3yo Filly · 8-12
Vichy · Prix De Puy Guillaume Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y
#9
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Lyon La Soie | 3 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-03-04 | Marseille | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 05/02/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 30% | +0.25 |
| 18/02/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 04/03/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |
| 21/03/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 42% | -0.00 |
| 03/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 15/08/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/09/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |