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3

Vatican

3yo Colt · 9-2

Vichy · Prix De Puy Guillaume Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/11

Win Prob

42%

Place Prob

31%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 12/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12812/02C5C5 @ Chantilly 27/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12827/02C5C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1288/09C5projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Lyon-Parilly?4th4th0
2026-02-27Chantilly?3rd3rd0
2026-02-12Chantilly?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0227/028/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength40%

Delivery trend -34.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/02/20262nd14/126%80%+0.54
27/02/20263rd5/174%78%+0.04
08/09/20264th11/486%70%-0.16