8

Creator

9yo Gelding · 10-5

Vichy · Prix De La Source De L'hopital Claiming Stakes · 6f 211y

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength52%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 8.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Mont De Marsan 21/09/2019 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 12821/09C5C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 22/06/2020 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12322/06C52 @ Clairefontaine 03/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y GS 127 · HIGHER CLASS3/0823 @ Deauville 15/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 124 · HIGHER CLASS15/0833 @ Deauville 25/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS25/083projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Deauville39th7th+2
2026-08-15Deauville310th8th+2
2026-08-03Clairefontaine27th4th+3
2020-06-22Lyon-Parilly?9th9th0
2019-09-21Mont De Marsan?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0922/063/0815/0825/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength37%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20198th9/153%36%-0.16
22/06/20209th40/10%53%+0.53
03/08/20267th100/10%40%+0.40
15/08/202610th18/15%0%-0.05
25/08/20269th33/10%38%+0.38