7

Khelonyx

4yo Gelding · 10-5

Vichy · Prix De La Source De L'hopital Claiming Stakes · 6f 211y

#7

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength38%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Pau 28/01/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS28/013C5 @ Pau 23/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1303 @ Mont De Marsan 23/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS23/0333 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y GS 131 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ La Teste De Buch 11/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 127 · HIGHER CLASS11/0644 @ Dax 08/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Dax 17/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS17/0734 @ Vichy 03/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Hvy 130 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Tarbes 29/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS29/084projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Tarbes44th3rd+1
2026-08-03Vichy46th5th+1
2026-07-17Dax37th5th+2
2026-07-08Dax47th6th+1
2026-06-11La Teste De Buch47th6th+1
2026-04-27Bordeaux Le Bouscat313th11th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0127/0417/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +12.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/01/202614th10/382%7%-0.75
23/02/20269th17/255%43%-0.12
23/03/202611th7/163%9%-0.54
27/04/202613th66/10%14%+0.14
11/06/20267th18/15%33%+0.28
08/07/20267th16/116%45%+0.30
17/07/20267th18/15%33%+0.28
03/08/20266th22/10%55%+0.55
29/08/20264th9/153%75%+0.22