Rocquemont
10yo Horse · 10-12 · OR 97
Vichy · Prix De La Source De L'hopital Claiming Stakes · 6f 211y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-17 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-16 | Salon-De-Provence | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-03-18 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 14/01/2026 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 9% | -0.51 |
| 16/02/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 18/03/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 16/04/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 18/05/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 56% | +0.50 |
| 08/09/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |