2
Sport Coupe
8yo Gelding · 10-12
Vichy · Prix De La Source De L'hopital Claiming Stakes · 6f 211y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
66%
Place Prob
45%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength56%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-05-18 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 16/04/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 08/05/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 18/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 20/06/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.15 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 90% | +0.04 |
| 06/08/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |