3
Le Petit Poucet
5yo Gelding · 10-7
Vichy · Prix Des Malavaux Stakes · 1m 5f 202y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Pau | ? | 9th | 13th | −3 |
| 2025-12-24 | Pau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-23 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-01 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -13.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.41 |
| 01/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 13/01/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 86% | -0.08 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 78% | -0.12 |