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4

Mystere Du Repas

4yo Gelding · 10-7

Vichy · Prix Des Malavaux Stakes · 1m 5f 202y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lignieres 07/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m7f199y Sft 1407/03C5C5 @ Lignieres 07/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m7f199y Sft 1467/04C5C5 @ Vichy 24/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f202y Sft 14324/05C5C5 @ Nantes 16/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m7f90y Gd 14316/06C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-16Nantes?3rd3rd0
2026-05-24Vichy?5th5th0
2026-04-07Lignieres?2nd2nd0
2026-03-07Lignieres?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/037/0424/0516/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength92%

Delivery trend +1.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
07/04/20262nd2/189%86%-0.04
24/05/20265th5/174%56%-0.18
16/06/20263rd14/126%67%+0.40