6

Nashville Blue

3yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Hydrus - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#6

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 25/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 025/09C?C0 @ Enghien 09/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 09/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 19/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 019/12C?5 @ Laval 28/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 028/035C0 @ Argentan 11/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 011/05C?4 @ Toulouse 05/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 05/064projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Vichy?0
2026-06-05Toulouse41st1st0
2026-05-11Argentan?4th4th0
2026-03-28Laval57th7th0
2026-03-14Lisieux50
2025-12-19Vincennes?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/099/1019/1228/0311/055/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength47%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/09/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
09/10/20258th17/255%42%-0.14
19/12/20256th14/126%58%+0.32
28/03/20267th28/10%50%+0.50
11/05/20264th20/10%67%+0.67
05/06/20261st2/189%100%+0.11