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5

Nikita Sly

3yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Hydrus - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#9

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 16/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 016/075C0 @ Chatelaillon 29/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 029/07C?4 @ Vincennes 11/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 011/094projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Vincennes45th5th0
2026-07-29Chatelaillon?2nd2nd0
2026-07-16Le Mont-Saint-Michel52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0729/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +29.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20262nd5/287%90%+0.03
29/07/20262nd2/189%86%-0.04
11/09/20265th18/15%67%+0.61