9
Nuit De Star
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Hydrus - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Cabourg | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-23 | Pornichet | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Cabourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Laval | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chartres | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.39 |
| 13/11/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 05/12/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.31 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 02/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 83% | +0.28 |