8

Key Biscayne

6yo Gelding · 10-3

Vincennes · Prix D'issigeac - Monte · 1m 5f 92y

#9

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 03/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 1433/03C?C0 @ Graignes 16/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 143C0 @ Laval 24/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 12824/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 27/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 143C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 04/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 04/08C?C0 @ Feurs 08/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Nantes 05/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 05/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 21/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 130C0 @ Cabourg 31/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 13031/07C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-31Cabourg?3rd3rd0
2025-11-21Vincennes?10th10th0
2025-11-05Nantes?12th12th0
2025-09-08Feurs?12th12th0
2025-08-04Cagnes-sur-Mer?6th6th0
2025-05-27Vincennes?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0327/055/1131/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength47%

Delivery trend +5.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/03/20255th11/142%69%+0.27
16/03/20254th4/596%75%-0.21
24/04/20257th10/147%45%-0.02
27/05/20256th16/116%58%+0.43
04/08/20256th17/255%55%-0.01
08/09/202512th16/116%27%+0.11
05/11/202512th100/10%27%+0.27
21/11/202510th80/10%18%+0.18
31/07/20263rd18/15%80%+0.75