9

L'as De Smarves

5yo Gelding · 10-3

Vincennes · Prix D'issigeac - Monte · 1m 5f 92y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 06/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 06/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 21/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 05 @ Nantes 13/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 013/025C0 @ Caen 02/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Maure De Bretagne 24/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 14324/03C?4 @ Vincennes 10/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 27/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 14327/04C?3 @ Vincennes 06/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 26/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 14326/07C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Enghien?3rd3rd0
2026-07-04Enghien30
2026-06-06Vincennes310th10th0
2026-04-27Enghien?1st1st0
2026-04-10Vincennes44th4th0
2026-03-24Maure De Bretagne?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/102/0327/0426/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength70%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/10/20257th10/147%60%+0.13
21/10/20259th9/153%43%-0.10
13/02/202610th80/10%36%+0.36
02/03/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
24/03/20261st4/596%100%+0.04
10/04/20264th20/10%77%+0.77
27/04/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
06/06/202610th33/10%40%+0.40
26/07/20263rd7/282%82%+0.00