9

L'as De Smarves
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix D'issigeac - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Enghien | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Vincennes | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Maure De Bretagne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 21/10/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 13/02/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 02/03/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 24/03/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 10/04/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 06/06/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |