3
Licar Somolli
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix D'issigeac - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Enghien | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Le Mans | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 4 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.31 |
| 24/05/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 05/07/2025 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 09/04/2026 | 15th | 22/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 03/06/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 10/09/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |