10
Lukas D'oliverie
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix D'issigeac - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
80%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Vincennes | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-06 | Vincennes | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-14 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength88%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2024 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 06/12/2024 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 21/01/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 08/02/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 14/03/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 07/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 31/12/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 06/01/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 17/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |