6
Lumineux
5yo Gelding · 9-4
Vincennes · Prix D'issigeac - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Enghien | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Argentan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Cholet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Vincennes | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength80%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 15/02/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 24/03/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 11/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 01/08/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |