5

Mister Lion

5yo Colt · 10-3

Vincennes · Prix D'issigeac - Monte · 1m 5f 92y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Vincennes 27/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 14327/025C0 @ Enghien 27/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 027/04C?2 @ Vincennes 22/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 022/0523 @ Enghien 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 026/063projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-08Argentan40
2026-07-25Enghien30
2026-07-11Enghien30
2026-06-26Enghien34th4th0
2026-05-22Vincennes23rd3rd0
2026-04-27Enghien?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0227/0422/0526/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +16.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/02/20263rd9/153%78%+0.25
27/04/20266th33/10%55%+0.55
22/05/20263rd28/10%78%+0.78
26/06/20264th22/10%73%+0.73