4
Hashtag Simoni
7yo Gelding · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix De Gimont - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#7
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Saint-Malo | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Vincennes | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Vire | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Vincennes | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.23 |
| 27/01/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 14% | +0.09 |
| 16/02/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 27/02/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |
| 18/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.27 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 05/08/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 42% | -0.06 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 62% | +0.09 |