5
Jag Royal
7yo Gelding · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix De Gimont - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#1
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
88%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vincennes | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Meslay Du Maine | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 93% | +0.03 |
| 10/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 91% | +0.01 |
| 27/05/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 93% | +0.88 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 16/06/2026 | 8th | 13/8 | 91% | 30% | -0.61 |
| 15/08/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 17/09/2026 | 11th | 9/2 | 76% | 23% | -0.53 |