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6

Nigme Du Douarou

3yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Bianca - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#6

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cherbourg 14/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 014/06C?5 @ Cabourg 10/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 010/075C0 @ Cabourg 31/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 031/07C?C0 @ Vincennes 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 01/09C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2026-07-31Cabourg?7th7th0
2026-07-10Cabourg55th5th0
2026-06-14Cherbourg?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0610/0731/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength35%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/06/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
10/07/20265th9/153%69%+0.17
31/07/20267th22/10%45%+0.45
01/09/20262nd13/266%90%+0.24