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8

Nobel De Pail

3yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Bianca - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#5

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chartres 05/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 05/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 12/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/05C?C0 @ Vincennes 09/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 09/06C?C0 @ Cherbourg 24/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 024/06C?5 @ Pornichet 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 016/075C0 @ Mauquenchy 05/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 05/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 26/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 026/08C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-08-05Mauquenchy?2nd2nd0
2026-07-16Pornichet53rd3rd0
2026-06-24Cherbourg?5th5th0
2026-06-09Vincennes?6th6th0
2026-06-01Nantes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0424/0626/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength45%

Delivery trend -1.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/04/20266th50/10%55%+0.55
12/05/20268th33/10%13%+0.13
09/06/20266th100/10%55%+0.55
24/06/20265th28/10%64%+0.64
16/07/20263rd20/10%78%+0.78
05/08/20262nd9/276%91%+0.15
26/08/20263rd10/147%82%+0.34