11

Mary Pickford

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Myrrha - Attele · 1m 2f 96y

#13

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Reims 01/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 01/06C?C0 @ Enghien 12/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 012/07C?C0 @ Enghien 30/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 030/07C?C0 @ Cordemais 15/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 015/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 08/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 08/09C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Vincennes?12th12th0
2026-06-02Les Sables?0
2026-05-16Vichy?0
2026-04-15Cordemais?7th7th0
2025-07-30Enghien?7th7th0
2025-07-12Enghien?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0612/0730/0715/048/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%

Delivery trend +9.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/06/20255th13/266%60%-0.06
12/07/20255th11/142%67%+0.25
30/07/20257th8/158%54%-0.04
15/04/20267th100/10%57%+0.57
08/09/202612th28/10%27%+0.27