6

Mercury Delo

4yo Colt · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Myrrha - Attele · 1m 2f 96y

#4

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 07/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 07/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 30/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 11/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 011/01C?4 @ Vincennes 31/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04 @ Vincennes 10/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 010/0445 @ Enghien 23/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 05 @ Enghien 13/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 013/065C0 @ Enghien 29/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 139C0 @ Vincennes 24/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13924/08C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Vincennes?7th7th0
2026-06-29Enghien?1st1st0
2026-06-13Enghien56th6th0
2026-05-23Enghien59th9th0
2026-05-05Vincennes?0
2026-04-10Vincennes49th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1031/0113/0624/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength44%

Delivery trend -0.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/10/20252nd15/261%92%+0.32
30/10/20258th18/15%50%+0.45
11/01/20265th12/137%69%+0.32
31/01/20266th12/137%55%+0.18
10/04/20269th33/10%38%+0.38
23/05/20269th6/168%27%-0.41
13/06/20266th33/10%58%+0.58
29/06/20261st20/10%100%+1.00
24/08/20267th10/147%33%-0.14