4
Mermoz
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Myrrha - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C18.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Enghien | 18 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 73% | -0.12 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 29/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 22/07/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |